# Exercise 3

An investor has the choice to put his money in a savings account ($S$) with a return of $\mu_S=1.03$. Since the bank guarantees this return the investment is risk-free, hence $\sigma_S = 0$. Furthermore, the investor has the possibility to invest in a stock $A_1$ with an expected return of $\mu_{A_1}=1.04$ and a risk of $\sigma_{A_1}=0.1$ and a stock $A_2$ with an expected return $\mu_{A_2} = 1.06$ and a risk of $\sigma_{A_2} =0.4$. We summarize this information: $(\mu_S,\sigma_S)=(1.03; 0)$, $(\mu_{A_1}, \sigma_{A_1})=(1.04; 0.1)$ and $(\mu_{A_2}, \sigma_{A_2})=(1.06; 0.4)$. The utility function of the investor is given by $U(\mu,\sigma)=\mu-4\sigma^2, \ (\sigma \geq 0)$. The investor puts a fraction $w_1$ in the savings account, invests a fraction $w_2$  in stock $A_1$ and a fraction $w_3$ in stock $A_2$. Since we assume he invests the full amount available for investment, we obtain the following restriction for the fractions $w_1$, $w_2$ and $w_3$: $w_1+w_2 +w_3= 1$ and $w_1 \geq 0, \ w_2 \geq 0, \ w_3 \geq 0.$ By the use of several statistical formulas, that are outside the scope of this book, the expected return and risk of this portfolio $P=w_1S + w_2A_1 + w_3A_3$ can be calculated. Here we provide the result of this calculation: (In these formulas it is also used that the covariance between $A_1$ and $A_2$ is equal to -0.005.)

$$\begin{array}{lll} \mu&=& 1.03w_1 + 1.04w_2 + 1.06w_3,\\ \sigma &=& \sqrt{0.01w_2^2 + 0.16w_3^2 -0.01w_2w_3}. \end{array}$$

Determine the optimal portfolio for this investor.

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{5}{6},\frac{5}{36},\frac{1}{36})$

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{109}{126},\frac{29}{252},\frac{5}{252})$

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{1}{3},\frac{5}{9},\frac{1}{9})$

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{25}{68},\frac{15}{34},\frac{13}{68})$

An investor has the choice to put his money in a savings account ($S$) with a return of $\mu_S=1.03$. Since the bank guarantees this return the investment is risk-free, hence $\sigma_S = 0$. Furthermore, the investor has the possibility to invest in a stock $A_1$ with an expected return of $\mu_{A_1}=1.04$ and a risk of $\sigma_{A_1}=0.1$ and a stock $A_2$ with an expected return $\mu_{A_2} = 1.06$ and a risk of $\sigma_{A_2} =0.4$. We summarize this information: $(\mu_S,\sigma_S)=(1.03; 0)$, $(\mu_{A_1}, \sigma_{A_1})=(1.04; 0.1)$ and $(\mu_{A_2}, \sigma_{A_2})=(1.06; 0.4)$. The utility function of the investor is given by $U(\mu,\sigma)=\mu-4\sigma^2, \ (\sigma \geq 0)$. The investor puts a fraction $w_1$ in the savings account, invests a fraction $w_2$  in stock $A_1$ and a fraction $w_3$ in stock $A_2$. Since we assume he invests the full amount available for investment, we obtain the following restriction for the fractions $w_1$, $w_2$ and $w_3$: $w_1+w_2 +w_3= 1$ and $w_1 \geq 0, \ w_2 \geq 0, \ w_3 \geq 0.$ By the use of several statistical formulas, that are outside the scope of this book, the expected return and risk of this portfolio $P=w_1S + w_2A_1 + w_3A_3$ can be calculated. Here we provide the result of this calculation: (In these formulas it is also used that the covariance between $A_1$ and $A_2$ is equal to -0.005.)

$$\begin{array}{lll} \mu&=& 1.03w_1 + 1.04w_2 + 1.06w_3,\\ \sigma &=& \sqrt{0.01w_2^2 + 0.16w_3^2 -0.01w_2w_3}. \end{array}$$

Determine the optimal portfolio for this investor.

Antwoord 1 correct
Correct
Antwoord 2 optie

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{109}{126},\frac{29}{252},\frac{5}{252})$

Antwoord 2 correct
Fout
Antwoord 3 optie

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{1}{3},\frac{5}{9},\frac{1}{9})$

Antwoord 3 correct
Fout
Antwoord 4 optie

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{25}{68},\frac{15}{34},\frac{13}{68})$

Antwoord 4 correct
Fout
Antwoord 1 optie

$(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{5}{6},\frac{5}{36},\frac{1}{36})$

Antwoord 1 feedback

Correct: We plug this information into the utility function $U(\mu,\sigma)=\mu - 4 \sigma^2$ such that we obtain a new utility function that depends on the fractions $w_1$, $w_2$ and $w_3$:

$$\begin{array}{lll} U(w_1,w_2,w_3) &=& 1.03w_1 + 1.04w_2 + 1.06w_3-4 (0.01w^2_2 + 0.16w^2_3 -0.01w_2w_3) \\ &=& 1.03w_1 + 1.04w_2 +1.06w_3 -0.04w_2^2 -0.64w_3^2 + 0.04w_2w_3. \end{array}$$
Since the fractions satisfy the restrictions $w_1+w_2+w_3=1$ and $w_1 \geq 0$, $w_2 \geq 0$, $w_3 \geq 0$, the investor has to deal with the following constrained maximization problem:

$$\begin{array}{lll} \mbox{maximize}&U(w_1,w_2,w_3) = 1.03w_1 + 1.04w_2 +1.06w_3 -0.04w_2^2 -0.64w_3^2 +0.04w_2w_3&\\ \mbox{subject to}&w_1 + w_2 +w_3=1,&\\ \mbox{where} & w_1 \geq 0, w_2 \geq 0 \ \mbox{and} \ w_3 \geq 0. \end{array}$$
We solve this constrained maximization problem by the use of the substitution method.

Step 1. We rewrite the restriction to $w_1 = 1- w_2 - w_3$.

Step 2. We substitute the equation of Step 1 into the utility function:

$$\begin{array}{lll} u(w_2,w_3) &=& U(1-w_2-w_3,w_2,w_3) \\ &=& 1.03(1-w_2-w_3) + 1.04w_2 +1.06_3-0.04w_2^2 -0.64w_3^2 +0.04w_2w_3 \\ &=& 1.03 +0.01 w_2 +0.03w_3 -0.04w_2^2 -0.64w_3^2 +0.04w_2w_3, \end{array}$$
where $(0 \leq w_2 \leq 1, 0 \leq w_3 \leq 1).$

Step 3. We determine the maximum location of $u(w_2,w_3)$.
Since the partial derivatives of $u(w_2,w_3)$ equal $u'_{w_2}(w_2,w_3) = 0.01 -0.08w_2 + 0.04w_3$ and $u'_{w_3}(w_2,w_3)=0.03 - 1.28w_3 + 0.04w_2$ the stationary point is the solution of the system:

$$\begin{array}{lll} 0.01 -0.08w_2 + 0.04w_3&=&0\\ 0.03 - 1.28w_3 + 0.04w_2&=&0 \end{array}$$
From the first equation it follows that $w_2=\frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{2}w_3$. We plug this into the second equation: $0.03-1.28w_3+0.04(\frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{2}w_3)=0$, which gives $w_3=\frac{1}{36}$. Therefore, $w_2=\frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{2}\cdot \frac{1}{36}=\frac{5}{36}$.

We have to verify whether $(w_2,w_3)=(\frac{5}{36},\frac{1}{36})$ is indeed a maximum location. Since $u''_{w_2w_2}(w_2,w_3)=-0.08$, $u''_{w_3w_3}(w_2,w_3)=-1.28$ and $u''_{w_2w_3}(w_2,w_3)=0.04$ we may conclude that $C(w_2,w_3)=(-0.08 \cdot -1.28) - (0.04)^2 =0.1008$. Hence, $(w_2,w_3)=(\frac{5}{36},\frac{1}{36})$ is a maximum location, because $C(\frac{5}{36},\frac{1}{36})>0$ and $u''_{w_2w_2}(\frac{5}{36},\frac{1}{36})=-0.08<0$.

Step 4. We determine the maximum (location) of $U(w_1,w_2,w_3)$.
By plugging $w_2=\frac{5}{36}$ and $w_3=\frac{1}{36}$ into $w_1=1-w_2-w_3$ it follows  that $w_1=\frac{5}{6}$ such that $(w_1,w_2,w_3)=(\frac{5}{6},\frac{5}{36}, \frac{1}{36})$  is a maximum location for this utility maximization problem of this investor.

Go on.

Antwoord 2 feedback

Wrong: Note that the covariance between the stock stocks is negative.

Try again.

Antwoord 3 feedback

Wrong: Note that $\alpha=8$.

Try again.

Antwoord 4 feedback